US presidential election

Nigel Hughes, Professor of Geology, University of California
Forrest Cookson's gloomy piece predicting that John McCain will win the next US Presidential election may be prophetic. It also is right out of the Republican playbook, despite Mr. Cookson's suggestions to the contrary. I share the view that Mr. McCain has better chance of capturing the presidency than many observers suspect. But the exciting thing is that the rise of Mr. Obama has been both spectacular and unprecedented. Who, six months ago, would seriously have expected him to be ahead of such an establishment figure as Mrs. Clinton? What happens from now on depends on whether Mr. Obama runs a campaign that continues to challenge the conventional rules of US politics, and whether he is able to transcend the past. It is certainly possible that he will do so, and that he will win a decisive victory that may be seen as a turning point. To foretell his failure at this juncture is out-of-touch with the situation on the ground, and is exactly what the McCain camp is counting on. Mr. Cookson's piece is little more than a stealth endorsement for Mr. McCain, and readers need to know that.