Poll predicts 'draw' in UK vote

Independent.co.uk

Labour will draw with the Conservatives for the number of votes received at next month's general election, according to a new poll.

An ICM Wisdom Index survey conducted for The Telegraph put the Tories just a tenth of percentage point ahead of Ed Miliband's party – both on 32 per cent.

If that were a true reflection of voter intention, the result would still heavily depend on where ballots were cast as the result depends solely on the number of Parliamentary seats won.

The figures suggest that Labour and the Tories are still struggling to get ahead, with less than four weeks left until the election.

But the floundering Liberal Democrats could remain the third largest party in the Commons according to the poll of 2,000 voters, which put them ahead of Ukip after a surge in recent weeks.

Behind-the-scenes talks have already started to sound out coalition possibilities in the ever more likely event of another hung Parliament.

Andrew Hawkins, the chairman of ComRes, said his company's polling data still suggests that outcome.

"The underlying data suggests that things are moving at a tectonic rate - very, very slowly - in the Tories' favour," he told The Independent.

"I don't think it will be enough to win a majority – its just not going to happen.

A "poll of polls" for The Independent showed Labour ahead on 34 points to the Conservatives' 32, with the rest of the competition lagging far behind on Saturday.