LDC GRADUATION

Bangladesh readies for UN panel hearing

Refayet Ullah Mirdha
Refayet Ullah Mirdha

Citing three major economic challenges, the government has prepared its position paper ahead of a United Nations hearing on Bangladesh’s request to defer its graduation from the least developed country (LDC) category.

In a virtual meeting of the United Nations Committee for Development Policy (UNCDP) on April 29, Bangladesh will seek a three-year deferral of its scheduled graduation in November this year.

Dhaka plans to highlight a serious gap in preparedness, incomplete core reforms and the economic fallout from the US-Israel war on Iran as key reasons for postponement.

In addition, Bangladesh will raise concerns over vulnerabilities in the financial sector, weaknesses in the banking system, an export slowdown due to volatile global supply chains, high interest rates and an uncertain business and investment climate, said Md Abdur Rahim Khan, additional secretary to the commerce ministry.

Khan, who is also in charge of the commerce secretary, told The Daily Star over the phone that Bangladesh’s case for deferment has strengthened after Nepal, another South Asian LDC set to graduate, also applied to the UN for a three-year extension.

Bangladesh, Nepal and Lao PDR are scheduled to graduate from LDC status on November 24 this year. However, Bangladesh and Nepal have now sought to delay the transition until 2029, citing domestic and external economic pressures.

Earlier on February 19, the newly elected government sent a letter to Jose Antonio Ocampo, chair of the UNCDP, requesting that the preparatory period be extended until November 24, 2029, mentioning that more time is needed to ensure readiness.

Following Bangladesh’s request, the UNCDP discussed the issue at its annual meeting in February and agreed on a process to assess the proposal.

The UNCDP has now called a public hearing on Bangladesh’s request on April 29. After the hearing, the committee will submit its recommendations to the United Nations Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) in June.

ECOSOC will then forward its assessment to the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), which is scheduled to meet in September. The final decision on the deferment will be taken through a vote at the UNGA.

A UN assessment report last month said Bangladesh still faces serious gaps in its readiness for graduation, as its economy continues to be affected by both domestic and international shocks, including the US-Israel war on Iran.

The report highlighted a series of disruptions between 2017 and 2026, including climate vulnerability, the Rohingya crisis, a prolonged macroeconomic slowdown that predated the regime change, the Covid-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, inflation, and pressure on the balance of payments.

It also noted that while Bangladesh meets all three criteria for graduation, significant risks persist, including the loss of trade preferences, fiscal and financial vulnerabilities and weak institutional coordination.

The report stressed the need for urgent reforms, stronger implementation capacity, adequate policy space and a whole-of-society approach to ensure a smooth and sustainable transition.

It added that a difficult political changeover and prolonged macroeconomic stress have eroded socio-economic gains, increasing risks linked to graduation.

Rising import costs for fossil fuels have created operational constraints, with gas shortages worsening due to the Middle East conflict, the report said. Economic growth slowed from 7.1 percent in FY22 to 3.5 percent in FY25, weakening momentum ahead of graduation.

Inflation has outpaced wages, pushing millions into hardship and vulnerability.

Private investment has also weakened, with capital machinery imports falling from $5.1 billion to $2.8 billion during the 2019-2024 period. The labour market has also come under pressure, with nearly 1.9 million jobs lost between 2023 and 2024, disproportionately affecting women.