WB trims 2015 East Asia growth forecast
East Asia's developing economies led by China will grow slightly slower this year, with higher US interest rates and an appreciating dollar posing further risks to the region, the World Bank said Monday.
In its latest forecasts for the region, the bank said China's economy should expand by 7.1 percent in 2015, slower than the 7.2 percent rate projected in October and down from last year's 7.4 percent growth.
Developing East Asia should grow 6.7 percent, easing from 6.9 percent in 2014, the World Bank added in the latest edition of its East Asia Pacific Economic Update. Under the bank's definition, Developing East Asia includes 14 countries.
"Despite slightly slower growth in East Asia, the region will still account for one-third of global growth, twice the combined contribution of all other developing regions," Axel van Trotsenburg, World Bank East Asia and Pacific regional vice president, said in a statement.
Slower growth in China is likely to temper the positive effects of lower oil prices and a recovery in developed countries, but the bank said economies should take advantage of the oil price fall to push through fiscal reforms aimed at raising revenues such as cutting fuel subsidies.
"In China, engineering a gradual shift to a more sustainable growth path will continue to pose challenges for policymakers, given real sector weaknesses and financial system vulnerabilities," the bank said, adding that reforms "will depress activity in the short term".
The bank slashed its forecast for growth in the Philippines to 6.5 percent this year from its October estimate of 6.7 percent, but this is still higher than last year's 6.1 percent expansion.
For Indonesia, 2015 growth is expected to come in at 5.2 percent, slower than the bank's previous estimate of 5.6 percent but still stronger than last year's 5.0 percent expansion.
Thailand's economy is likely to mount a strong rebound and grow at 3.5 percent this year from just 0.70 percent in 2014 as greater political stability perks up consumer spending and investments.
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